Analysis by Region - Europe

Analysis by Region - Europe

We've maintained our 2023 GDP growth forecast for Serbia at 2.6% as Q2 data was somewhat higher than we expected but ut the outlook remains cautious. Inflation is falling but was still high at 11.5% in August. Similar to global trends, headline inflation is easing faster than the core and with renewed pressures on oil prices, this might present a problem. The National Bank of Serbia (NBS) now expects inflation to return within the target range (3%, +/- 1.5%) by Q2 2024.